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ASPO 2009 International Peak Oil Conference

System Reset: Global Energy and the New Economy
Sheraton Hotel, Denver, Colorado
Sunday, October 11- Tuesday, October 13, 2009

Saturday, October 10, 2009

1:00 PM to 9:00 PM Pre-Conference Workshop: Survive and Thrive After Peak Oil

Creating Personal Plans for the Coming Decades

The Challenge:  How should we plan our lives in the face of peak oil, global climate change, and the ongoing financial crisis?     Much thought has gone into policy questions around energy, but less attention has been given to helping people prepare their own plans for such concerns as finance, careers, education, nutrition, community, housing, and transportation.  It’s time for all of us to help fix that! Continued “business as usual” planning for individuals, families, and communities will not be good enough any more. Cost: $95 Learn More

 
 

Sunday, October 11, 2009

9:00 AM to 7:30 PM Day 1 - Concurrent Sessions
7:30 AM to 7:30 PM Conference Registration
9:00 AM to 10:00 AM Concurrent Sessions 1

Two concurrent sessions:

TRACK A: Peak Oil: Train The Trainers
Robert Hirsch, lead author of the famous 2005 report to DOE on the "Peaking of World Oil Production: Impacts, Mitigation, and Risk Management" offers some thoughts on how to effectively present the topic of peak oil to others. Attendees will receive a set of his powerpoint slides for their use and dissemination in their own presentations.

Moderator: Debbie Cook, ASPO-USA Board of Directors
Presented by Robert Hirsch, Senior Energy Advisor, MISI
Presentation File: PDF

TRACK B: Charting a Sustainable Future ( Part 1 of 2 )
Moderator: Dave Bowden, Executive Director, ASPO-USA

  • Pat Murphy, Arthur Morgan Institute for Community Solutions
    "Sustainability of Passive Buildings and Shared Transit"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Jason Bradford, Managing Partner of Vital Farmland LP
    "Sustainable Farming"
    Presentation File: N/A
  • David Wann, author, Affluenza, Superbia
    "Building Sustainable Communities"
    Presentation File: N/A
10:00 AM to 10:15 AM Break
10:15 AM to 12:00 PM Concurrent Sessions 2

Three concurrent Sessions

TRACK A: Analyses from The Oil Drum
Moderator: Kyle Saunders ("Professor Goose")

  • Gail Tverberg, Writer, The Oil Drum
    "What's Ahead? Two Scenarios"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • David Murphy, Lead Researcher, EROI Institute
    "Recent Advances in EROI Research"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Jeff Vail, Associate, Davis Graham & Stubbs LLP
    "The Renewables Gap"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Brian Maschhoff, Contributor, The Oil Drum
    "More Saudi Oil? Really?"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Rembrandt Koppelaar, Contributor, The Oil Drum
    "Oil Megaprojects: A Quarterly Approach"
    Presentation File: PDF

TRACK B: Charting a Sustainable Future ( Part 2 of 2 )
Moderator: Dave Bowden, Executive Director, ASPO-USA

  • Pat Murphy, Arthur Morgan Institute for Community Solutions
    "Sustainability of Passive Buildings and Shared Transit"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Jason Bradford, Managing Partner of Vital Farmland LP
    "Sustainable Farming"
    Presentation File: N/A
  • David Wann, author, Affluenza, Superbia
    "Building Sustainable Communities"
    Presentation File: N/A

TRACK C: International Perspectives ( Part 1 of 2 )
Moderator: Dick Lawrence, Board member, co-founder, ASPO-USA

  • Kjell Aleklett, President, ASPO International, Professor, Uppsala University, Sweden
    "The Peak of the Oil Age"
    Presentation File: N/A
  • Feng Lianyong, Professor, School of Business Administration in the University of Petroleum 
    "Progress of the Peak Oil Debate in China"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Daniel Gomez, President, ASPO Spain
    "Renewable Energy in Spain - Update"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Carlos Rossi, Venezuelan Hydrocarbon Association
    "Making the Energy Transition from Peak Oil"
    Presentation File: N/A
12:00 PM to 1:00 PM Break and Networking
Sunday lunch break will not be hosted. You may visit one of the many Denver restaurants outside the hotel.
1:00 PM to 2:30 PM Concurrent Sessions 3

Three concurrent sessions:

TRACK A: Energy and Investment
Moderator: Jim Hansen, Independent Financial Consultant

  • Richard Vodra, Vice President, Spire Investment Partners
    "Personal Planning for the post-peak world - thoughts from the ASPO workshop"
    Presentation File: N/A
  • Byron King, Editor, Whiskey & Gunpowder
    "We're Not Surrounded. We're Just Defending on Every Front"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Tom Konrad, CFA-Analyst, AltEnergyStocks.com,
    "Stock Selection for the coming Era of Peak Oil and Climate Change"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Allen Stevens, Denver Branch Manager, Stifel-Nicolaus
    "Macroeconomic Overview of Peak Oil: The 5 Ds"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Nate Hagens, Editor, The Oil Drum
    "Why We Invest: Some Foundational Tenets"
    Presentation File: PDF

TRACK B: North American Energy System Vulnerabilities
Moderator: Sally Odland, ASPO-USA Advisory Board

  • Jeffrey Brown, Independent petroleum geologist
    "Are We in the Early Stages of a Permanent Net Oil Export Crisis?"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Rick Munroe, Energy Security Analyst, National Farmers Union of Canada
    "Government plans for liquid fuel emergencies"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Scott Pugh, US Department of Homeland Security
    "Protecting America's Electric Grid"
    Presentation File: PDF

TRACK C: International Perspectives ( Part 2 of 2 )
Moderator: Dick Lawrence, Board member, co-founder, ASPO-USA

  • Paul Sears, Systems Research Analyst, Natural Resources Canada
    "Reducing Canada's Energy and CO2 Footprint"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Hannes Kunz, President, IIER, Zurich
    "Economic Scenarios for an Age of Declining EROIs"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Bengt Söderbergh, Global Energy Systems
    "Coming European Gas Crisis? - Future Supply from Norway and Russia"
    Presentation File: PDF
2:30 PM to 3:30 PM Extended Networking Break with Topic Table Discussions
3:30 PM to 5:00 PM Concurrent Sessions 4

Three concurrent sessions:

TRACK A: Stalking the Wild Taboo: The Missing Discussions About Population and Energy
"Thoughts From Richard Lamm, an Interview With Albert Bartlett, and a Conversation With Both"
Moderator: John Theobald, UC Oil Forum, University of California, Davis
Presentation File: PDF

  • Hon. Richard Lamm, former Governor of Colorado, Co-Director of the Institute for Public Policy Studies, University of Denver
    Presentation File: N/A
  • Albert Bartlett, Professor Emeritus, University of Colorado, Boulder
    Presentation File: N/A

TRACK B: Connecting Peak Oil and the Recession
Moderator: Robert Hirsch, Senior Energy Advisor, MISI

  • Terry Backer, State Representative, State of Connecticut
    "Promoting Sound Energy Policy in Cash-Crunched Governments"
    Presentation File: N/A
  • Steven Kopits,
 Managing Director, Douglas-Westwood LLC, New York 
    "A Peak Oil Recession"
    Presentation File: N/A
  • Nate Hagens, Editor, The Oil Drum
    "Abstract Energy Gain and the Permanent Recession"
    Presentation File: N/A

TRACK C: Climate Change: Three Views
Moderator: Randy Udall, Energy Analyst & Co-Founder, ASPO-USA

  • Heidi VanGenderen, Team Leader, Natural Gas and Sustainable Energy Initiative, Worldwatch Institute
    "The Politics and Policy of Climate Change."
    Presentation File: N/A
  • Chuck Kutscher, National Renewable Energy Laboratory
    "The Urgency of Climate Change and the Potential for Renewable Energy"
    Presentation File: N/A
  • Susan Capalbo, Chair, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics,
    Oregon State University
    "Economic Dimensions of Carbon Sequestration: How Does It Stack Up?"
    Presentation File: N/A
5:00 PM to 6:30 PM Meet and Greet Opening Reception
Join the conference speakers; network. Hors d'oeuvres and cash bar.
6:30 PM to 7:30 PM Evening Keynote

Super Giant Pre-Salt Petroleum Systems recently discovered in Offshore Greater Campos Basin, Brazil

Marcio Rocha Mello, President HRT Petroleum, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil,
Introduced by Vince Matthews, Director, Colorado Geological Survey
Presentation File: N/A

Video interview clip from Sadad al-Husseini, oil consultant, Dhahran, Saudi Arabia.

 
 

Monday, October 12, 2009

7:00 AM to 5:00 PM Day 2: Linking Energy Supply and the Economy

7:00 AM to 8:00 AM Continental Breakfast
7:00 AM to 5:00 PM Conference Registration
8:00 AM to 8:30 AM Welcome and Introductions

Kjell Aleklett, President, ASPO International, Professor, Uppsala University, Sweden
Presentation File: PDF
Steve Andrews, Senior Analyst & Co-Founder, ASPO-USA
Presentation File: N/A
Mayor John Hickenlooper, Denver, Colorado
Presentation File: N/A

Video Welcome to Conference Attendees from ASPO Founder Colin Campbell

8:30 AM to 10:00 AM The Future of Oil Supply in an Unpredictable-Price Environment

Moderator: Steve Andrews, Senior Analyst & Co-Founder, ASPO-USA

  • Randy Udall, Energy Analyst & Co-Founder, ASPO-USA
    “Overview Remarks on the Future of Oil Supply”
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Chris Skrebowski, Energy Institute in London, Editor of Petroleum Review
    "Two years remission for financial bad conduct"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Jeremy Gilbert, Barrelmore, Ltd., formerly BP Chief Petroleum Engineer
    "Why won't they listen to us?"
    Presentation File: PDF

Question & Answer

10:00 AM to 10:30 AM Break and Networking
10:30 AM to 12:00 PM Natural Gas Game Changers?

Moderator: Randy Udall, Energy Analyst & Co-Founder, ASPO-USA

  • Peter A. Dea, President & CEO, Cirque Resources LP
    "Abundant Natural Gas Supply, An American Treasure"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Arthur Berman, Director, Labyrinth Consulting Services, Inc.
    "Cautionary Lessons from the Barnett Shale"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Edward Warner, Founder, Expedition Oil Company
    "No Guts, No Glory: The Discovery of Jonah Field"
    Presentation File: N/A

Question & Answer

12:00 PM to 1:45 PM Lunch Keynote and Awards

Presentation of M.K. Hubbert and Whipple awards

The Nexus of Energy, the Economy and Politics
Kevin Phillips, Commentator and Author of Bad Money
Presentation File: PDF

1:45 PM to 3:15 PM The Great Recession and Energy Markets

Moderator: Steven Kopits, Managing Director, Douglas-Westwood LLC, New York

  • Adam Robinson, Vice President, RBS Sempra Commodities,
    "Oil and The Great Recession; Physical Reality or Investor Fantasy?"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Dave Cohen, ASPO Writer and Analyst
    "The Aftermath of the Great Recession"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Eric Janszen, Investor and founder of the website iTulip.com,
    “Debtor Nations Dream of Deflation”
    Presentation File: PDF

Question and Answer ( including Kevin Phillips )

3:15 PM to 3:30 PM Break and Networking
3:30 PM to 5:00 PM Energy and the Media: On the Watch or Asleep at the Wheel?

Moderator: John Theobald, UC Oil Forum, University of California, Davis
Presentation File: PDF

  • Peter Maass, Author Crude World: The Violent Twilight of Oil, Contributing Writer, The New York Times Magazine
    "Crude and Confusing: Why Oil Is Harder to Write About Than Any War I Covered"
    Presentation File: N/A
  • Lisa Margonelli, Author, Oil On The Brain, New America Foundation
    "Predictable Pitfalls: How We Fail To Cover Energy Policy And Alternative Energy... And Why It Matters"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Richard Heinberg, Author, Blackout: Coal, Climate and the Last Energy Crisis,
    Senior Fellow, Post Carbon Institute
    "Report from the Front: A Peak Oil Educator Reflects on What's Worked and What Hasn't"
    Presentation File: N/A

Question and Answer

5:00 PM to 5:30 PM Summary / Responder and Wrap-Up

5:30 PM to 6:30 PM Networking Reception
Please join us for hors d'oeuvres and cash bar.
6:30 PM to 7:30 PM Evening Keynote

Matthew Simmons, Simmons & Company International
"ASPO In Its 7th Year: Accomplishments, Frustrations & Failures"
Presentation File: PDF

Video interview clip from Sadad al-Husseini, oil consultant, Dhahran, Saudi Arabia.

7:30 PM to 10:00 PM Speakers Dinner

Advanced registration and payment required

 
 

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

7:00 AM to 5:00 PM Day 3: Reactions, Challenges, and Opportunities
7:00 AM to 8:00 AM Continental Breakfast
7:00 AM to 5:00 PM Conference Registration
8:00 AM to 8:30 AM Tuesday Opening Remarks

Kjell Aleklett, President, ASPO International, Professor, Uppsala University, Sweden
Presentation File: PDF
Steve Andrews, Senior Analyst & Co-Founder, ASPO-USA

8:30 AM to 10:00 AM Eastern Hemisphere: Perspectives and Outlook

Moderator: Kjell Aleklett, President, ASPO International, Professor, Uppsala University, Sweden

  • Ray Leonard, CEO and President, Hyperdynamics Corp; former VP of Exploration, Kuwait Energy
    "Prospects for ME-OPEC and Russian Oil & Gas"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Simon Ratcliffe, Energy Advisor, Department for International Development, Government of the United Kingdom
    "Oil in Africa and the National Transportation Masterplan in South Africa - an ASPO South Africa case study"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Michael Rodgers, PFC Energy Partner based in Asia; senior member PFC Upstream and Gas practice
    "China: Energy Supply & Demand in the 21st Century"
    Presentation File: PDF

Question and Answer

10:00 AM to 10:30 AM Break and Networking
10:30 AM to 12:00 PM Western Hemisphere: Perspectives and Outlook

Moderator: Dick Lawrence, Board member, co-founder, ASPO-USA

  • RoseAnne Franco, South America Senior Analyst, PFC Energy
    "Outlook for Oil & Gas in South America"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • David Shields, journalist and author of the book Pemex: The Oil Reform
    "Outlook for Mexican oil production"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Vince Matthews, Director, Colorado Geological Survey
    "World Mineral-Fuel Demand and Security"
    Presentation File: PDF

Question and Answer

12:00 PM to 1:30 PM Lunch and Keynote

Alternative Transportation Energy - A Major Game Changer or Overrated Strategic Option?
Tom Petrie, Founder, Petrie, Parkman, Inc. / Merrill Lynch
Presentation File: PDF

1:30 PM to 3:00 PM Navigating Competing Priorities in Energy, Food, and Water Policy

Moderator: Debbie Cook, ASPO-USA Board of Directors
Presentation File: PDF

  • Michael Webber, Associate Director, Center for International Energy & Environmental Policy, University of Texas, Austin
    "Thirst for Power: The Global Nexus of Energy & Water"
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Jason Bradford, Managing Partner of Vital Farmland LP
    "Food Policy and a Resilient Food System"
    Presentation File: N/A
  • Jeff Dunn, Government Affairs Analyst, Southern California Association of Governments
    "Making Sausage: The Evolution of a Bill."
    Presentation File: N/A

Question and Answer

3:00 PM to 3:30 PM Break and Networking
3:30 PM to 5:00 PM Strategies from the Forefronts of the Transition

Moderator: Sally Odland, ASPO-USA Advisory Board
Presentation File: PDF

  • Robert Hirsch, Senior Energy Advisor, MISI
    "Some Random Thoughts"

    Presentation File: N/A
  • Ken Eklund, Writerguy, Alternate Reality Game Creator
    "World Without Oil: Crowdsourcing our way out of oil addiction"
     
    Presentation File: PDF
  • Chris Martenson, Creator, The Crash Course
    "Laying the Foundations for True Prosperity" 

    Presentation File: N/A

Question and Answer

5:00 PM to 5:30 PM Special Guest

Colorado Governor Bill Ritter, Jr.
Presentation File: N/A

5:30 PM to 6:30 PM Networking Reception
Please join us for hors d'oeuvres and cash bar.
6:30 PM to 7:30 PM Closing Remarks

Nate Hagens, Editor, The Oil Drum "Chicken Little at A Crossroads"
Presentation File: PDF

 
 

Speakers

Moderators